All Case Studies

Strategic Public Affairs and Geopolitical Risk Management in Emerging Markets

Social licence to operate
Natural Resources
Oil, Gas and Mining

Following a corporate merger, a premier global gold producer required continuous regulatory and geopolitical intelligence to safeguard multi-billion dollar operations. In Mexico, a rapid state-led tax overhaul threatened industry competitiveness with a proposed 7.5% royalty rate. Simultaneously, evaluating a high-stakes expansion into a Guyana's Project required a granular socio-political risk framework to navigate severe infrastructure deficits, systemic local corruption, and intense indigenous land right disputes.

Background

In Mexico, a rapid state-led tax overhaul introduced a proposed 7.5% royalty rate, threatening industry competitiveness and demanding immediate strategic preparation at the executive level. At the same time, a planned expansion into a major gold project in Guyana required a granular socio-political risk framework to navigate severe infrastructure deficits, systemic corruption, and intense indigenous land rights disputes. The merged organization's executive board required precise, actionable intelligence to maintain long-term operational resilience across both volatile jurisdictions.

Approach

Speyside Group engineered a dual-layer risk management framework. For the board, we delivered quarterly monitoring on Mexican regulatory pivots, mapping paths to negotiate future royalty adjustments. Concurrently, we conducted a rigorous 19-page country risk assessment in Guyana. This strategy mapped key institutional actors, evaluated environmental mandate liabilities, and provided actionable criteria for site security planning and direct state-level diplomacy.​

Impact

  • The strategic intervention provided the organization's executive board with the precise visibility needed to maintain long-term operational resilience across volatile jurisdictions.​
  • In Guyana, the comprehensive assessment established an accurate blueprint to insulated the Aurora Project from regional disruption.
  • By identifying structural vulnerabilities. Speyside Group de-risked the investment, allowing the client to separate its corporate identity from irresponsible local actors and protect its legal freedom to operate.​
  • In Mexico, the continuous intelligence flow successfully prepared leadership to manage the immediate impact of the 7.5% extraction tax while structuring a data-driven advocacy approach to campaign for competitive tax adjustments.